March 26, 2008

Reading The Signs And Knowing When It's Time To Prepare For A Major Food Crisis!

By William Cormier

Unfortunately, too many Americans are ignoring warning signs that have been present for years, and now, rather than attempting to decipher "the chatter" that assails us on a regular basis - many of us are burying our heads in the sand and hoping that all of the doom and gloom is nothing more than the pessimistic writing of people whom are paranoid and always live in a world of fear and uncertainty. Based on several indicators I've been tracking, it isn't paranoia - and is a glimpse into the world that our MSM has been attempting to hide from the American people. Now, even the MSM is beginning to raise the alarm - but like everything else they have done to protect the Bush administration and the corporations that control their views, their efforts are far too late and too little to effectively convey the danger that each and every one of us will face in the very near future. Like everything else that comes through the MSM, nothing can be taken at face value - and if they say it's a problem, we have to understand that it is far more serious than they are reporting, likely in an effort to stave off panic, their assessment of the situation only scratches the surface!

Food prices on the rise worldwide

A perfect storm of factors, including high commodity prices and growing demand, will affect costs for the next 10 years, the U.N. says.

MEXICO CITY (AP) — If you're seeing your grocery bill go up, you're not alone.

Many factors in play.
Freak weather is a factor. But so are dramatic changes in the global economy, including higher oil prices, lower food reserves and growing consumer demand in China and India.

Among the driving forces are petroleum prices, which increase the cost of everything from fertilizers to transport to food processing. Rising demand for meat and dairy in rapidly developing countries such as China and India is sending up the cost of grain, used for cattle feed, as is the demand for raw materials to make biofuels.

No foods left untouched.
What's rare is that the spikes are hitting all major foods in most countries at once. Food prices rose 4% in the U.S. last year, the highest rise since 1990, and are expected to climb as much again this year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

As of December, 37 countries faced food crises, and 20 had imposed some sort of food-price controls. MUCH MORE

The CNN report, while accurate to a certain degree, fails to delve deeper into the problem and does not reveal the true danger we face; the food crisis that is building throughout the world has been predicted for decades - and while a logical person would "assume" that our government is prepared and has stockpiled essential grains and other staples so the US will be able to weather the coming storm - exactly the opposite has happened. In fact, it appears that a crisis is being manufactured by our own government. We know that recent weather patterns and drought have impacted our ability to feed our own country, and instead of addressing the issue - the government is largely ignoring a situation that could plunge us all into martial law if food riots develop in the United States - and even worse, cause the deaths of untold thousands or hundreds of thousands of innocents, especially the elderly, sick and disabled, and those who are living in poverty:

US Food Riots Much Closer Than You Think

— Nothing is stored for very long in a supermarket. One day grain travels (by rail) from Kansas to Seattle to a flour mill. The next day the flour mill makes the flour and sends it to a bakery. The next day the bakery makes it into bread (and other baked things) and the next day it is at the store where it is purchased that day. Nobody stores anything. The grain is produced and stored in the Midwest and shipped daily in a single railroad pipeline to the rest of America where the people live.

– Up until the 1980s there was a system that stored a lot of grain in elevators around the country. At one time, a whole year's harvest of grain was stored that way. But since taxpayers were paying to store it, certain urban politicians engineered the movement of that money from providing a safety net or backup for their own food supply in order to give the money to various other social welfare things. So now, nothing is stored. We produce what we consume each year and store practically none of it. There is no contingency plan.

— In order for riots to break out the whole food supply doesn't have to be wiped out. It just has to be threatened sufficiently. When people realize their vulnerability and the fact that there is no short term solution to a severe enough drought in the Midwest they will have no clue as to what they should do. Other nations can't make up the difference because no other nation has a surplus of grain in good times let alone in times when they are having droughts and floods also. It takes two or three months to raise grain, yet people have to eat usually at least once a day, usually more than that.

–So, basically, we have in place a recipe for a disaster that will dwarf any other localized disasters imaginable. The important thing to note is that there is no solution for this event. There is no contingency plan for this. (Emphasis added) People living in certain parts of the US will fare better than others (which is another story) but those who live in big cities, where most of the US population live, are done for. MUCH MORE

As this crisis gains in momentum, I believe the United States should temporarily halt wheat exports until we build-up at least a two-year supply for our own country. Charity does "begin at home", and until we have taken measures to protect ourselves, the inaction of the government is causing a major rift in our national security - and since they know of the danger and refuse to properly address it, the logical conclusion is they are allowing this crisis to ripen for socio-economic and political reasons - all of which is detrimental to the American public:

Food Riots in Egypt

Al Jazeera
March 13, 2008

The UN secretary general has warned that millions of people are at risk of starvation as global food stocks have fallen to their lowest levels for decades.

In a letter to a US newspaper Ban Ki Moon warned that shortages are forcing prices to rise which may have devastating consequences for the world's most vulnerable communities

The most acute effects have been seen in Egypt, where thousands of people have resorted to violence due to shortages of basic food commodities and rising food prices.

Global phenomena

The shortage of food has now assumed a global dimension; some 73 million people in 78 countries depend on the United Nations World Food Programme (UNWFP). MORE

The global food crisis is being blamed on higher fuel prices which equate to everything rising in price, however, the real culprit is climate change and/or global warming, whichever term you choose to use, and that is definitely getting worse! This next report is from Time Magazine online, and it was published on Aug. 27, 2007. As you read this report, please note the flooding that is currently underway in the Midwest and then apply it to our current situation; also, back in 2007, fuel prices were not nearly a high as they are now - and there doesn't seem to be a light at the end of the tunnel:

Global Warming's Next Victim: Wheat

We're used to watching the price of oil mock gravity, but there's an even more essential commodity that's also become scarcer and pricier in recent months: Traders are paying record prices for wheat on world markets, thanks in part to shortages caused by a mix of drought and flooding. Canada, the second-biggest wheat producer after the U.S., looks set to harvest its smallest crop in five years, due to an unusually dry July, while production in the European Union may be down nearly 40% from last year after flooding rains followed long droughts. Growing global demand for biofuels is also eating up grain production, and boosting prices.

As a result of the supply squeeze, global inventories of wheat — which makes up one-fifth of the world's food intake — are expected to fall to their lowest level in 26 years, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Tighter supplies mean American consumers will be paying a few cents more for everything from bread to muffins to hamburgers, as meat supplies can be tied to grain prices. And, if the world warms as expected over the coming decades, the terrible farming year of 2007 may be just the beginning. As temperatures rise, many studies predict that crop yields will decline, as the extreme droughts and floods that damaged this year's wheat crops become more common. The most fertile areas are likely to be found further north in response to the heat, opening up the possibility of agriculture in territories such as Siberia that had long been too cold for decent farming. But the same effect could turn current bread-basket regions as the American Midwest into dust bowls. MORE

Once we begin to meld several stories into one and look at the broader picture, it's easy to see that the United States, whether it's through incompetence or by design, could very well fall into a "third world" type of food crisis that could have been averted through careful planning and foresight - something the Bush administration has lacked since they came into power. If all of the above should come true and we do enter a period of famine and food riots in the US, ask yourselves who will benefit? Why is our own government refusing to prepare us for disaster? Why have we created a situation masked as "energy conservation" that has turned much of our farmland to corn production for biofuel production when solid scientific evidence demonstrates that our current turn to biofuels actually worsens the overall situation?

A Biofuel Reality Check; A Sane Voice from Iowa Farm Country

by Michael Richards

Most of what is being marketed as "Green Fuel" is not green and sustainable at all. We must study the context of agriculture and processing from a whole systems perspective. True green energy can only be produced within a well-designed sustainable ecology. This type of analysis, policy and action is not taking place through any official channels. Without such whole systems science, the mad rush to biofuels will be as damaging to the environment and global climate as the present global petro-chemical economy. All sides of this important discussion need to seek a factual and scientific basis for policy decisions and new energy enterprise.

We need an intelligent biofuel reality check. The first fact to face is that it is biologically, physically and mathematically impossible to replace fossil fuel with biofuel. U of Mass. Biologist Jeffrey Dukes calculated that the fossil fuels we presently burn in one year were produced from stores of organic matter "containing 44Ã…~10 to the 18 grams of carbon, which is more than 400 times the net primary productivity of the planet's current biota." In plain and simple English, this means that every year we use four centuries' worth of planetary plant and animal matter that were converted into fossil fuel over many millions of years. Every single barrel of oil replaces 25,000 man hours of human labor energy. The idea that we can simply replace fossil fuel and the extraordinary power density it provides with a fast market shift to "green" energy is the stuff of wild science fiction. There is simply no rational substitute for cutting back on energy consumption. The most important step toward a sustainable Post Petrol Paradigm is to initiate resource conservation on a heroic global scale. A truly sustainable society requires a very radical departure from the present energy consumption paradigm. To just change fuels, without changing the underlying social and economic paradigm is an absurd folly.

Fossil fuel substitutes such as ethanol and biodiesel are being sought frantically all over the planet. Most decision makers in government and industry are not ready to face the hard decisions that climate change and effective, scientific, long term environmental management demands. In many cases biofuel conversion amounts to a cure that is a bigger problem than the petroleum problem. Many biofuel evangelists are as strident in their denial of scientific reality and hard facts as many petroleum executives are in their denial of peak oil. (To understand the folly of bio-fuels, this is a must-read article!) MUCH MORE

Is there anything we can do as individuals to mitigate this situation? Yes, attempt to build-up your food supplies so your family has a better chance at survival. Global warming and weather patterns are progressively getting worse as evidenced by the Midwest flooding, drought, and a very real global fresh water shortage. Today, CNN reported that another huge chunk of the Antarctic ice shelf has collapsed - and another piece the size of Connecticut, "is holding on by a narrow beam of thin ice." LINK

To those that believe I'm writing these articles to help one of my advertisers, think again! Survival Acres has cut all of their advertising beginning April 1st, and "why" they are doing so is certainly something that all of us should take into consideration. LINK As for me, I am also taking the same position. It's my opinion the Bush administration has wrecked havoc upon America as a whole, and President Bush has lived up to his Russian nickname as "The Master of Disaster."

William Cormier

The Canaries In The Mine Are Dying - How Much Longer Until It Spreads To Man?

Authors Website:

RLCC Comment: The article is nearly completely correct; however, hoarding isn't the right spirit to promote. Selfishness is what caused the mess in the first place. The only way out is its opposite across-the-board. It must be voluntary, but it must be.

Also, surviving in this flesh is not the highest priority. One's soul is the measure. Jesus died in the flesh for the many but now lives on forever. He is worthy.

Link to source-webpage, obtained via: OpEdNews - OpEdNews.Com Progressive, Tough Liberal News and Opinion, March 28, 2008, 12:33am

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  • Tom Usher

    About Tom Usher

    Employment: 2008 - present, website developer and writer. 2015 - present, insurance broker. Education: Arizona State University, Bachelor of Science in Political Science. City University of Seattle, graduate studies in Public Administration. Volunteerism: 2007 - present, president of the Real Liberal Christian Church and Christian Commons Project.
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